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Oh, did you assume the Legislature was accomplished for the yr? Think again.

DeSantis dropped a Friday information dump signaling that he and Republican lawmakers are engaged on cracking down on undocumented immigrants as DeSantis continues grandstanding over a doable flood of Haitian migrants into the state.

Now look, in contrast to Democrats who spent a lot of President Joe Biden’s administration quibbling over utilizing the time period “disaster” relating to our southern border (it was and is), we acknowledge the pressure {that a} flood of migrants getting into the nation illegally can placed on authorities assets. The scene in Texas this previous week was incredibly troubling and shouldn’t be occurring.

So we’re not coming from an open borders place when framing DeSantis as “grandstanding.”

For one, it’s not even clear that this surge of Haitian migrants is coming. Sure, the nation is coping with unbelievable strife in the meanwhile. However based on the Coast Guard, that hasn’t led to an uptick of migrants fleeing and making an attempt to get into Florida.

However okay, it’s higher to be ready forward of time. So what has DeSantis proposed up to now? First he floated flying Haitian migrants to Martha’s Vineyard, merely rerunning a earlier stunt he pulled to appease the GOP base.

Now, he’s proposing a Particular Session which might churn out laws making it simpler to detain and criminally punish migrants, mirroring a Texas legislation that has already been halted by a federal court docket.

So once more, we have now the Governor pushing for issues that sound nice to a slice of voters in his base, however which is able to value the state cash to perform little or no.

Republicans love messaging concerning the risks of the border to whip up hysteria. And as we acknowledged, a few of these risks do exist, and Democrats have dropped the ball in some ways.

However when push got here to shove, congressional Republicans killed a severe border invoice in order that they may proceed working in opposition to Biden on this difficulty. They made a political transfer as a substitute of an excellent coverage choice.

DeSantis is pushing extra of the identical right here in Florida. And the worst half? The bottom doesn’t even like him anymore.

Now, it’s on to our weekly recreation of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable point out: Kathleen Passidomo. This week, DeSantis signed landmark legislation pushed by Senate President Passidomo aiming to enhance the state’s well being care system and workforce.

Lawmakers accredited the package deal final month, and now the slate of payments are a part of Florida Statutes.

We’ve famous the serious help this laws will bring to the state’s well being care workforce, which is projected to expertise extreme shortages as Florida’s inhabitants ages.

“It is a recreation changer, our state will perpetually be modified,” Passidomo stated at a Thursday signing occasion alongside the Governor and several other different well being care stakeholders.

This Session might have seemed very completely different have been it not for Passidomo. It could have been straightforward to proceed churning out inflammatory tradition struggle payments, and Republicans might have gotten away with it with supermajorities in each chambers and management of the Governor’s Mansion.

As an alternative, Passidomo stood up and made this work a precedence. Our politics wants far more work like this to make sure that authorities is addressing severe issues as a substitute of inventing issues and “fixing” them simply to attraction to the bottom. Credit score once more to the Senate President for getting this accomplished.

Nearly (however not fairly) the largest winner: Evan Energy. We’ve shouted out Democrats once they have shown signs that they may dig themselves out of the electoral gap Republicans put them in final cycle.

This week, Florida GOP Chair Energy and the Republicans got the shovels out once again. as a number of municipalities held a slate of native elections on the identical day as Florida’s Presidential Major.

The GOP cleaned up in Clearwater and received shock elections in Delray Seashore, Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, Oakland and elsewhere. Democrats tried — and failed — to assert their native efforts have been a hit (extra on that later). However any goal learn of Election Evening exhibits it was a win for Republicans.

Okay, however that’s only one evening, and Democrats even have latest constructive election outcomes to level to. What about going ahead?

Effectively, in that respect, the Florida GOP can be traditionally well-positioned, with a report this week exhibiting the party’s registration advantage of more than 850,000 over the Democrats is the most important one social gathering has had over one other since 1988.

That places Energy and Republicans in an awesome place to show their dominance in 2022 wasn’t a one-off.

The most important winner: Seminole Tribe of Florida. The Tribe received yet one more court docket problem over its Gaming Compact with the state, with the Florida Supreme Courtroom throwing out a state-level challenge this week.

The Justices wrote {that a} writ of quo warranto, which the petitioners used to problem the Compact, was the improper methodology.

“Quo warranto just isn’t, and has by no means been, the right automobile to acquire a declaration as to the substantive constitutionality of an enacted legislation,” the order learn. “For that motive, we deny the petition as a result of the aid that Petitioners search is past what the writ of quo warranto supplies.”

That’s yet another win in court for The Seminole Tribe of Florida, and permits the Gaming Compact to stay in pressure.

After the newest win in federal court docket late final yr, The Seminole Tribe of Florida launched its sports activities betting app in full, which has already supplied the state with $120 million in income as a part of the Gaming Compact. The U.S. Supreme Courtroom continues to be weighing one other attraction over a distinct problem to the Compact, however with win after win for the Tribe, it seems the Compact is right here to remain.

Losers

Dishonorable point out: Carolina Amesty, Eddie Speir. A few dangerous candidates make this listing for some troubling reporting that emerged this week.

Amesty bought in scorching water last Summer over reporting from the Orlando Sentinel about funds and controversies associated to Central Christian College, which she runs. This week, the Sentinel adopted up with one other bombshell report about Amesty notarizing a doc signed by educator Robert Shaffer, which he stated he by no means signed.

“If I used to be referred to as to court docket, I might say that isn’t my signature,” Shaffer informed the Sentinel.

The report describes how Central Christian College was searching for a license and listed 5 folks on school to assist enhance the college’s attraction — besides these 5 didn’t work at Central Christian College, based on the report.

“Utilizing the credentials of Shaffer and 4 different males with graduate levels doubtless helped the varsity get a state license, as the foundations require most instructors to have superior levels,” the Sentinel’s report provides.

As for Speir, Steven Walker of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune authored a report spotlighting Speir’s use of his Christian college to run his congressional marketing campaign. Federal legislation, nonetheless, bars such nonprofits from being straight concerned in political campaigning.

A separate report from our personal Jacob Ogles added that Speir is using campaign funds to pay relations for his or her work. That looks like much less a authorized difficulty than certainly one of optics, nonetheless.

Amesty is up to now unopposed in her re-election bid in Home District 45. So regardless of her controversies, it’s unclear whether or not she is going to face any repercussions.

Speir, nonetheless, is mounting a Major problem in opposition to Republican U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan. Difficult a revered sitting Congressman is at all times troublesome. It solely will get more durable when points like this come up and lengthy shot candidates have to start out taking part in protection.

And studies about Speir doubtlessly violating legal guidelines regulating nonprofits is one he definitely wants to supply solutions for. The present reporting, nonetheless, exhibits he’s not a candidate that voters ought to take significantly when deciding who ought to characterize the state in Washington.

Nearly (however not fairly) the largest loser: DeSantis. Look, it’s straightforward for critics to simply merely level and chuckle at DeSantis’ vote share on this week’s Presidential Major, because the one-time subsequent massive factor within the Republican Celebration pulled in lower than 4% of the vote in his house state, which he leads as Governor.

However does he deserve it? Sure, sure he does.

And sure, we all know DeSantis supporters will level out that he dropped out of the race in January, and that Donald Trump has already earned presumptive nominee standing. They’ll make the case that this Major was meaningless, and that’s true to the extent that it’ll have an effect on the result of the race. Trump goes to be the nominee.

However this needed to be an ego hit for the Governor. Nikki Haley additionally exited the race just a few weeks again, and he or she pulled in 14% of the vote. Sure, she remained within the race for not less than a part of the early voting interval. However Haley’s path was successfully shut way back. The one motive to forged a vote for both DeSantis or Haley was as a Trump protest vote. And on that metric, Haley did much better.

And although this race would have been way more fascinating with some stakes, the way in which it shook out served as an ideal coda for a way this Major performed out. Why would these bored with one other Trump time period ever vote for DeSantis? They have been drawn extra to a candidate like Haley who really contrasted herself with the previous President.

The individuals who favored Trump voted for him. And DeSantis did far too little, far too late to ever put a dent in Trump’s help. So armed with only a protest vote, there was no motive to verify the field subsequent to the Governor’s identify.

However hey, good luck with 2028.

The most important loser: Nikki Fried. Final week we warned this was going to occur. “Not holding a Presidential Major could have helped defend Biden from potential complications, but it surely might value native Democrats simply winnable races.”

Effectively, it did. The dearth of a race on the high of the ticket value Democrats what ought to have been wins in a number of municipal contests.

A Republican received the Delray Beach Mayor’s race. Each GOP-backed candidate received in native Lauderdale-by-the-Sea contests. And Republicans went 3-for-3 in Clearwater contests.

That’s dangerous sufficient, and will make the Democrats rethink their choice to not maintain aggressive Presidential Primaries sooner or later. However the Florida Democratic Celebration (FDP) continued tripping over itself afterward, falsely claiming that its Take Back Local program helped flip seats.

Sure, Democrats did win some contests Tuesday evening. The Take Again Native program focused solely seven races, nonetheless. And Democrats did win 4 of these seven.

However in all 4, a Democrat already held the seat in query. In order that program resulted in precisely zero flips.

Like we stated earlier, we’ve given the FDP credit score once they’ve come by way of and received extremely contested elections. Might this was merely a blip in Democrats’ efforts to make Florida a toss-up state as soon as extra.

However this week, Chair Fried and the FDP dropped the ball and seemed just like the FDP of outdated.

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